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Iran

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Iran/Hezbollah… Check mate… The final hour of this historical moment is approaching in this international tournament of chess game between the ancient masters of chess and the new prince in the hood.

Iran is the ancient master of this game where as the new prince is none else than the United States.

Will the United States of America be able to execute the last move and check mate on Iran chess board once and for all in this day and age of tribulation!

Will the ancient master succeed to out maneuver the new prince once more, this is yet to be seen, but what is historically recognized as a fact is that Briton was a better opponent in this game especially with Persia…

The last move I am referring to in here obviously is Hezbollah and certainly not Syria. As a matter of fact, Iran has no trust in the Syrian regime due to several known facts; first is Syria was and still is a broker interested in competitively playing a pivotal role in the Middle East game for a higher payoff, Syria managed to fool itself and others that it is small country with super power foreign ministry due to its previous occupation of Lebanon and stretched out manipulation of the Palestinian frictions between its warring and disputing factions. Then there is the other fact which is just as common that is Hezbollah, Hezbollah is an inseparable entity of the Shiite republic of Iran sharing in common creed and belief and divine vision and that makes it the most advanced out post for Iran in its conflict and probable future confrontation with any western power and Israel…

Syria will lose this game because the Syrians are simply playing poker on a chess board, in chess there is no room for a miscalculated gambling, that would only lead to check mate and that is what will eventually happen with Syria.

Iran on the other hand is very successful in playing this chess game and will continue to do so, since a check mate move is not possible in this current standoff situation which left Israel, United States and its allies in a very unenviable confusion.

Iran is as patient in weaving Persian rugs as playing off a last game of chess…

Infact, there has never been any such confusion in taking a decision to strike any of Israel’s enemies since the day of its formation, and this is rather unprecedented in modern history.

The same applies for Hezbollah which just as successfully proven to be there to stay (on Israel northern border), and removing it might translate to removing a great chunk of present Israel.

Hezbollah is playing his cards as wittingly as Iran, promising flexibility while showing no retreats and no dodging whatsoever…

We need to consider one solid and uncompromising truth concerning Hezbollah political principal and military stance. Hezbollah cannot compromise, will not compromise not now and not as long as it exists, and for any regional, local or international diplomatic body hoping this would or might ever be achieved in future through negotiation is an utter ignorance of Hezbollah Islamic foundational background which would become illegitimate if Hezbollah either accepts to share power with any none follower of their sect and philosophy or any other governing system not based upon Islamic shariaat law.

It would be easier for Hezbollah to split Lebanon into two separate states instead, or simply do what it is doing now, which is keeping a Maronite Christian ally (Mishal Awn) up front to avoid having to deal directly with any unwanted competitor or adversary which is a genius politics by Hezbollah leadership with a lot of complexity indeed…

As for dealing with Hezbollah as a terrorist organization, well, that would be a very big mistake since they have a divine cause and a very disciplined and systematic vision for a future of eternity in paradise according to their belief…

This year will be very interesting to monitor since coming events promises to be more thrilling than any Hollywood action movie, the coming events are going to be solid reality with vivid and accelerated action fit to re shape the whole of the Middle East and set a new logic of super power concept.

As for the foreseen downfall of the current Syrian regime and leadership, and on the contrary to common belief in that region, such downfall will drastically strengthen Hezbollah and free it from many undesired obligations towards this regime.

Conclusion; if there is any change to take place for the near future it would only be achieved through a bone breaking confrontation between Iran and allies and its sworn enemy Israel and its allies… this is a genuine finger biting situation, I wonder who is going to scream first…

I am afraid all I see for that already tiny country of Lebanon in the near future is a division into some sort of a confederacy to preserve stability and sustain internal peace, otherwise, its another armed conflict for Lebanon as well…

Keep your watch

Adam El Masri

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