Why?! As events trickle on the Lebanese stage after the assassination of former minister Muhammad Shatah, dark shadows of part of the picture started revealing its secrets.
The several missiles landing in Israel launched from South Lebanon and the blockade of the highway to Beirut in protest for a kidnapped Lebanese citizen in Nigeria sheds light to what could be the reason behind the assassination of Dr. Muhammad Shatah.
Muhammad Shatah is from Tripoli City in the North of Lebanon, but what most people did not realize is the fact that Dr. Shatah originally came from the Tabbaneh area in the city of Tripoli, Tabbaneh is facing mount Mouhsin which is the Alawayt stronghold that supports Bashar Al Assad lately accused of being behind the infamous bombings of the two mosques of al Salam and al Taqwa resulting in over fifty dead and a thousand injured few months ago.
Though Shatah was very active in finding solution for the current stalemate in Lebanon, I do not personally think this would be enough for his assassination at this time, neither I believe that he was murdered because he was a moderate politician and a talented debater, It seems that being a Sunni from the Tabbaneh area was more probable cause for his assassination to instigate another round of fighting between Tabbaneh and Mount Mouhsin in an act of retaliation for his assasination to give a motive for the supporters of the Alawayts and their allies to interfere militarily in their support in preparation to bring more chaos into the Lebanon prior to the due date of the Lebanese Tribunal for the assassination of PM Rafik Hariri in mid-January 2014.
The Assad Regime and its allies in Lebanon would prefer to have Lebanon in chaos and without a government or even a presidency during the beginning of next year to secure the elimination of a possibility for any Lebanese government to have to respond to any obligation resulting from any request by the international tribunal trial of the five Hezbollah members accused of Hariri assassination…
The three billion dollars military aid for the Lebanese army granted by the Saudi Kind Abdullah may also be to prepare the Lebanese armed forces to respond to any hidden agenda by Iran, Syria and the Hezbollah camp in Lebanon…
Though there is so much uncertainty in the Lebanon after the assassination of Dr. Shatah what is certain is that 2014 will prove to be a very delicate year for the existence of Lebanon as we know it today.
Partition of Lebanon seems inevitable unless Iran and Syria let go of Lebanon which they hijacked for over two decades.
Lebanon is a failed state without the Lebanese workforce support in the Gulf countries.
Lebanon is too tiny to grab the attention of the super powers but Lebanon will prove to be contagious if the super powers keep on neglecting its need for independence and peace and ignore its rights to exist as a free and neutral country in this 21st century.
The Syrian refugees number is growing like wild mushrooms in every community throughout Lebanon, schools are not enough to cater for their children, hospitals are not equipped to accommodate or attend to their needs and the whole infrastructure of every city, town and village is exhausted and overwhelmed by the Syrian refugees invading even their fields and roads and accommodation needs.
The united nation and other donor countries do not give the needed help because the current government is corrupt and not even legitimate and the list grows longer and longer, will Lebanon have a break in the 2014 or will it breakdown that is yet to be seen in the 2014.
What come may, good luck Lebanon.
Adam El Masri
